Jan 22, 2015

Mapletree Industrial Trust 3QFY15 DPU up 6.4% YoY

Mapletree Industrial Trust: Decent results, but valuations rich
+ Positive rental reversions for renewals
+ Leasing environment challenging

Strong financial position
MIT’s balance sheet remains healthy, with an aggregate leverage ratio of 32.8%, as at 31 Dec 2014 (-0.3 ppt QoQ). Management also increased its interest rate hedge ratio from 77% to 86%, thus putting it in a strong position to weather any possible spikes in interest rates in the foreseeable future. Maintain HOLD We are keeping our forecasts intact given this set of in-line results. Looking ahead, we expect the leasing environment to remain challenging due to competitive pressures and the soft macroeconomic landscape. Rental reversions are likely to continue to moderate as the gap between MIT’s passing rents and market rents are narrowing.

Maintain HOLD on MIT with an unchanged fair value estimate of S$1.43. MIT’s share price has already risen 6.4% YTD, and the stock is now trading at FY15F P/B ratio of 1.3x, which we deem as rich. This is approximately one standard deviation above its average forward P/B ratio since its IPO.

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